Phase 7I APBS off-target rescore — head-swap selectivity test
Two runs, one finding
Run A (Phase 8g_v2, pre-existing): v5.2__aq3__adamantyl__CONHOH__-Cl (mech-anchor reference) vs 4 cochlear off-targets + STRC E1659A K1141 reference. Result file: artifacts/phase8g_v2_apbs_offtarget.json (was unanalyzed before this session).
Run B (Phase 7I, this session): v5.2__aq3__adamantyl__CONHOMe__-Cl (Tier-1 #2, Boltz Δ +0.066) on the same panel. Script: scripts/phase7i_apbs_offtarget_conhome.py. Result file: apbs_offtarget_conhome.json.
Combined results
| Target | CONHOH φ (kT/e) | CONHOMe φ (kT/e) | Δ (CONHOMe − CONHOH) | Selectivity vs STRC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRC E1659A K1141 (on-target) | +2.51 | +2.48 | −0.03 | ref |
| KCNQ4 (7BYM) | +0.91 | +1.12 | +0.21 | 🟢 selective |
| TRPM4 (8RD9) | +9.36 | +6.12 | −3.24 | 🔴 anti-selective (worse) |
| TMEM16A (7ZK3, 6 metals) | +4.90 | +4.27 | −0.63 | 🔴 anti-selective |
| Cx50 (8QOJ via Cx36 paralog) | −3.02 | −3.55 | −0.53 | 🟢 strongly selective |
φ = mean potential at lead’s hydroxamate / methyl-ester anion-O atom positions (the canonical “anion site” for the formal-anion Coulomb pull, identical method between runs).
Headline findings
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The CONHOH lead FAILS the +2 kT/e off-target selectivity gate as defined in the Phase 8g_v2 protocol. TRPM4 anion-O φ (+9.36) is +6.85 kT/e higher than STRC (+2.51). TMEM16A also exceeds STRC by +2.39 kT/e. This Phase 8g_v2 result was sitting unanalyzed in JSON since 2026-04-25. It is a paper-claim-load-bearing finding that has now been surfaced.
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CONHOMe head-swap REDUCES off-target electrostatic affinity without losing on-target. TRPM4 drops by 3.24 kT/e (the largest swing). STRC is essentially unchanged (−0.03 kT/e, within numerical noise). This means the head swap is a partial selectivity rescue:
- On TRPM4: gap shrinks from +6.85 to +3.64 kT/e (still anti-selective but materially better).
- On TMEM16A: gap shrinks from +2.39 to +1.79 kT/e (now under the +2 kT/e gate; passes strict-margin test on TMEM16A specifically).
- On Cx50 / KCNQ4: gap unchanged or marginally improved.
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CONHOMe Tier-1 still FAILS the strict +2 kT/e all-targets gate because TRPM4 +6.12 kT/e exceeds STRC +2.48 by 3.64 kT/e. The head swap is mechanistically helpful but does not resolve the TRPM4 specifically.
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The phosphonate Tier-1 candidates are not yet APBS-tested because off-target Vina poses do not exist for them. Phosphonate carries −2 charge; the prior expectation is that it will worsen off-target electrostatic attraction (especially at metal-coordinating sites), but that needs measurement, not assumption. Queued as P0 light:
aq3__1-indanyl__phosphonate__-CF3,aq3__4-F-biphenyl__phosphonate__-CN, plus the second CONHOMe variantaq3__adamantyl__CONHOMe__-CN.
What this changes about the lead picture
- Phase 5k mech-4 holds — the +5.99 kT/e MUT-pocket attractor at K1141 NZ is real (decomposed-electrostatics, p=6.9e-12).
- But the on-target attractor is not unique to STRC in the cochlear off-target panel: TRPM4 has a stronger anion-O attractor (+9.36) and TMEM16A has a comparable one (+4.90). The CONHOH-anion sees these too.
- The on-target plus mut-prefer signal is what gives STRC its selectivity edge in principle, not the magnitude of the on-target attractor. Phase 7I shows mut-prefer lives on the head group: CONHOMe and phosphonate carry the Boltz-2 mut-prefer signal; CONHOH does not.
- Lead picture for the paper:
- Mech-anchor (§3):
aq3__adamantyl__CONHOH__-Cl— load-bearing for Phase 5k formal-anion pocket attraction proof. - Lead candidate (§5): pivot to
aq3__adamantyl__CONHOMe__-Cl— passes ADMET, salt-bridge K1141 NZ contact (3.89 Å), Boltz mut-prefer (+0.066), partial off-target rescue (−3.24 kT/e on TRPM4). - Selectivity caveat (§7): TRPM4 + TMEM16A residual electrostatic attraction is an outstanding question. Mitigation paths: (a) Boltz-2 + Vina dG analysis on the off-target binding modes — does the lead actually bind TRPM4 even with electrostatic pull? Or does the binding pocket lack the geometric fit? (b) Phosphonate Tier-1 might worsen this; (c) Imidazole / triazole bioisosteres (DR4 suggestions) that retain mut-prefer geometry without high formal-anion potential.
- Mech-anchor (§3):
Note on the off-target ranking
For the CONHOMe lead, the φ ranking is: TRPM4 (+6.12) > TMEM16A (+4.27) > STRC (+2.48) > KCNQ4 (+1.12) > Cx50 (−3.55). KCNQ4 and Cx50 are cleanly selective. TRPM4 is the dominant anti-selectivity concern; TMEM16A is now within strict gate margin.
Connections
- STRC h01 Phase 5k-WT Matched Ensemble APBS 2026-04-25 — on-target +5.99 kT/e proof
- STRC h01 Phase 8g v5.2 Off-Target Panel 2026-04-25 — Vina off-target panel that motivated the APBS run
artifacts/phase7i_v52_combined/SUMMARY.md— Boltz-2 v52 combined analysis (parent of this APBS extension)artifacts/phase7i_v52_combined/tier1_pose_stability.md— K1141 NZ engagement checkartifacts/phase7i_v52_combined/tier1_admet_recheck.md— ADMET re-check on Tier-1