Phase 8h-lite #3 · Off-target electrostatic-selectivity proxy (light) — INCONCLUSIVE

Goal. Light proxy for off-target selectivity: rank receptors by accessible electropositive pocket capacity, comparable to E1659A K1141 +5.99 kT/e (Phase 5k).

Method.

  1. Vina-pose-anchored charge proxy: count net side-chain charge within 6 Å + 10 Å of docked v5.2 lead pose (selectivity_charge_proxy.py).
  2. Receptor-wide pocket scan: for every Lys/Arg, count net (Lys/Arg − Asp/Glu) within 10 Å (selectivity_pocket_scan.py).

Result

Approach 1 (Vina-pose-anchored, 6 Å + 10 Å)

targettight Δwide Δtight residues
E1659A STRC K1141+1+0LYS1173
TRPM40+1none
KCNQ400none
TMEM16A0+1none
Cx50/Cx36−10GLU25

Issue. Phase 8e Vina parked the lead’s CONHO⁻ at 7.5 Å from K1141 NZ, away from the Coulomb sink. This is the same Gasteiger-neutral-charge artifact that Phase 5k diagnosed and fixed by switching to APBS. The proxy is therefore measuring “where Vina parked it” not “where the formal anion would equilibrate,” so the +1 figure for E1659A is a Vina-pose lower bound — the APBS-correct binding mode at K1141 NZ would give +3 to +4 net.

Approach 2 (receptor-wide K/R pocket scan)

targetbest K/R pocket+K/R−D/Enet Δ+
E1659A STRCARG439 / LYS110472+5
TRPM4ARG542 (4× Arg cluster)100+10
KCNQ4ARG88 (Arg cluster)80+8
TMEM16ALYS273 / ARG27670+7
Cx50/Cx36LYS17050+5

Issue. All four off-target receptors are ion channels with K/R-rich functional regions (voltage sensors, selectivity filters, intracellular gating), so they look more electropositive in this naive count than E1659A K1141 — which is a single Lys in an enclosed hydrophobic pocket, not a cluster.

The scan returns ARG439/LYS1104 for E1659A, NOT K1141, because K1141 has only hydrophobic neighbours (PHE1646, TRP1612, LEU1140 from druggability scan #1) and so doesn’t form a Lys/Arg cluster — the very thing that makes it a druggable pocket.

Why this is inconclusive without APBS

The two proxies compare different things and neither captures what Phase 5k measured:

  • Phase 5k integrated the Coulomb potential at the formal-anion position over a 20-snapshot ensemble, capturing both charge density and geometric enclosure (the burial → high effective dielectric weight).
  • Light-proxy charge counts ignore enclosure. Off-target K/R clusters in voltage sensors, etc., are surface-exposed and high-dielectric-screened; they would NOT show +5.99 kT/e in APBS, even with high charge density.

To match Phase 5k properly:

  1. fpocket (or my burial-grid estimator) on each off-target → enclosed pockets.
  2. APBS on each enclosed pocket → kT/e.
  3. Compare each to E1659A K1141 +5.99 kT/e.

This is the heavy planned step. The lite proxy cannot substitute.

Salvage

What we can claim from light data:

  • Phase 8g Vina docking already ranked the lead’s affinity for these 4 off-targets vs E1659A. Vina ΔG was indistinguishable, which Phase 8g flagged as a Vina limitation.
  • Phase 5k’s mech-4 mechanism is Coulomb-driven: the lead binds E1659A by anionic attraction to a single buried Lys (K1141). For an off-target to phenocopy this, it needs a single buried Lys/Arg in a small enclosed hydrophobic pocket. None of the 4 off-target structures presents an obvious such site by inspection of their published binding sites.
  • This is suggestive but not quantitative. Wet-lab off-target panel (Phase 8 SOP gate 3) remains required.

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